2018 pesticide drug market demand forecast
In 2018, it is estimated that the major pests in the whole country tend to be more or less the same. Rice should focus on the transfer of pests, stem borers, rice blast; wheat should focus on scab, stripe rust and aphids; spike to focus on armyworms, cotton bollworm, corn borer, maculopathy; potato to focus on late Blight; locusts should focus on the locusts in the localized areas of concentration hazards. The above pests and diseases are greatly affected by the climate factors and have the risk of recurrence and epidemic. Farmland weeds tend to occur, with special attention to the problem of weeds in the southern direct broadcast rice fields. Moderately heavy occurrence of rodent pests in farming areas, special attention should be paid to the structural adjustment of planting area rat damage.
Pesticide market demand forecast
Overall judgments: the total amount of pesticide demand steady decline; Pesticide prices steadily; efficient plant protection machinery demand increased steadily.
Dosage continued to decline. Pesticides in larger provinces are: Hunan, Henan, Sichuan, Guangxi, Jiangsu, Shandong, Hubei, Yunnan, Jiangxi and Guangdong. Estimated demand (fold hundred) 8-9 million tons, down 10% over the previous year. Top 5 products are expected to be: dichlorvos, chlorpyrifos, phoxim, trichlorfon and insecticidal double.
Demand for organophosphorus species will continue to decline substantially, with a decrease of about 10% as compared with that of the previous year and carbamate emissions expected to decrease by about 16% over the previous year. Pyrethroids are expected to be basically at the same level as the previous year. Estimates of other pesticides A decrease of about 3% over the previous year. Acaricides demand increased, the larger the demand provinces are: Guangxi, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Shandong and Henan. Estimated demand (fold hundred) in about 10,000 tons, an increase of about 3% over the previous year. Among them, the varieties with more than 10% increase are: mineral oil, propargite, azole mite and tetrabofen.
The amount of consumption is basically the same. The provinces that need more are Shandong, Guangdong, Yunnan, Henan, Jiangsu, Anhui, Liaoning, Sichuan, Hebei and Fujian. Estimated demand (fold hundred) for 7.5-8.5 million tons. Top 5 varieties of demand are: copper sulfate, carbendazim, desen, thiophanate-methyl and chlorothalonil.
The varieties with more than 30% growth rate include: Wuyizhixin, Trichoderma, Pyrimidine nucleoside antibiotics, trifloxystrobin, syringomycin, azoxystrobin, propoxazole, pyraclostrobin, Bacillus subtilis, Amide, ethoxituride, tebuconazole, toxoflurane and enoximest, and the like.
The demand slightly increased over the previous year. Among the provinces with large demand, there are Heilongjiang, Jilin, Hubei, Yunnan, Liaoning, Shandong, Guangxi, Sichuan, Guangdong and Henan. The estimated demand (fold hundred) is 10-11 million tons, an increase of about 3% over the previous year. The top 5 most popular varieties are glyphosate, acetochlor, atrazine, butachlor, and 2,4-D-butyl ester. The varieties with more than 30% increase were: Penoxsulam, Frosin, Isopropamide, Cyhalofop, Esfenzuron, Isoproturon, Clodinafop propargyl ene and other grass.
Among the provinces with large doses of penoxsulam, there are Heilongjiang, Hunan, Hubei, Anhui and Sichuan provinces. Among them, only Heilongjiang has not shown any resistance to the drug, but enough attention should be paid to it. Demand for plant growth regulators has risen sharply. More provinces are in Xinjiang, Hebei, Zhejiang, Hunan, Shandong, Hubei, Sichuan, Hainan, Yunnan and Jiangsu provinces. The estimated demand (fold hundred) is 0.35-0.4 million tons, an increase of 18%. Top five varieties of the demand are: ethephon, paclobutrazol, acetamide, gibberellin, uniconazole and brassinolide.
Plant protection machinery market analysis
In 2018, efficient plant protection machinery needs to be strong. Plant protection UAVs will continue to heat up. It is estimated that the demand will be around 8,000 vehicles and the operating area is expected to reach 200 million mu. Self-propelled sprayer impacted by aviation plant protection, demand remained flat, but the demand for orchard self-propelled sprayer will rise.